by Paul Douglas | Sep 25, 2020 | Blog
NOAA Takes Steps To Catch Up to ECMWF For the record, I’d like American Exceptionalism to apply to weather model accuracy. My take: The National Weather Service is the best on the planet, but in recent years the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 24, 2020 | Blog
La Nina Now Likely This Winter I’ve consulted my therapist and my winter outlook remains unchanged: “Colder with some snow”. It’s the details (when, where, how much?) that trip me up every time. According to NOAA, a La Nina cooling phase in the...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 23, 2020 | Blog
2020: A Disruptive Year For Weather Too “There are two ways to be fooled. One, to believe what isn’t true. The other is to refuse to believe what is true” wrote 19th century Danish philosopher Soren Kierkegaard. The way 2020 is turning out it’s...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 22, 2020 | Blog
The Limits of Long Range Forecasting “Paul, please help. My little girl is having an outdoor wedding on October 11. Any idea what the weather will be?” Yes I do. Changeable. It might be easier to predict where the stock market will be on October 11. There...
by Paul Douglas | Sep 18, 2020 | Blog
Finding The Good In Every Season “Embrace the Suck.” My youngest son is a Naval aviator. He was given that sage advice during Plebe Summer at the Naval Academy in Annapolis. Translation: try to turn any negative into a positive. Look for the good –...
